The world of progressive/statist/altruists must reside in a dimension slightly removed from reality. For all of their “liberalism” they think dogmatically. The more black voters we can get to the polls for an election, the better. The more young people we can get to the polls, the better. The more Hispanics we can get to the polls, the better. The more women we can get to the polls, the better. That may have been true in the recent past and may be mostly true even in the upcoming election, but they cannot count on this being true in perpetuity.
Many Democrats who are fighting to win re-election next week were swept into office in 2008 by millenial voters enamored of the lofty rhetoric of then candidate, Senator Obama. Young voters are no longer reliably Democratic. They more appropriately should be considered “swing voters.” (See: Harvard University Institute of Politics.) Among 18-to-29-year-olds who say they will “definitely” vote in the November 4 election, 51 percent prefer a Republican-led Congress, while only 47 percent prefer to have the Democrats in control. That constitutes a 12 point shift from the 2010 midterm election. This is a sea change among the youngest and largest generation of voters, who have supported Democrats reliably since 2004.
As I have said many times, it would be unthinkable that the vast majority of black voters would not support President Obama. But many black voters thought he would focus on the issues that have plagued black communities. They are beginning to wake up to the reality that their various “plights” are worse under the leadership of Barack Obama than they were under George W. Bush. There is “buyer’s remorse” even in the black community. You will find the following video illuminating – President Obama should watch it, too.
Hispanics have been voting for Democrats because many believe in amnesty for their fellow countrymen that are here illegally. While I disagree I can understand their point of view. But the English and Scots pioneers that forged this nation don’t sit around at election time thinking which candidate wants to give amnesty to English or Scots illegals – and there are English or Scots illegals. The passage of time will inexorably alter their perspective.
Importantly, Latinos are not blind to the amateurish administration led by Barack Obama. Latinos are split in their approval of President Obama, with 40 percent in favor of the president, while another 40 percent disapprove of him, according to a survey by Florida Atlantic University’s Business and Economic Polling Initiative. I also firmly believe that second and third generations of Latino voters will favor Republicans. These are hard working, independent, family-oriented Americans. They should be prime supporters of Republican ideals (if our Party can ever field a candidate that can make a reasoned argument illustrating those beliefs).
While more women polled would still like to see a Democrat-controlled Congress, the gap between those who prefer Democrat control and those who prefer Republican control has shrunk dramatically in recent weeks. Last month, there was a 14 point gap, 51 to 37 percent. The gap is now half that, at 47 to 40 percent The President’s approval rating among white women is only 32 percent, with a disapproval rating of 62 percent — a 30 point spread. Just last month, the gap was 24 points. Last month, that demographic hoped to see a Democrat controlled Congress, by a margin of four points. Now, 48 percent want to see the Republicans control Congress, while only 40 percent want the Democrats in power in the House and Senate.
These shifts can be made permanent if the Republican Party could simply come together and do some things that are both good for the country and good for their Party. Fellow Republicans, let us stop fighting each other and focus on solutions that maintain our core principles but encourage young voters, women voters, black voters, and hispanic voters to respect our principles of small government, equal opportunity and self reliance. It can be done.